Working Papers – Tara Sinclair
The Future of Part-time Jobs in the US Economy
Janet Yellen leading the Fed – the Perspective of Two Female Economists
The Debt Ceiling Is Not the Way to Control the National Debt
Another Look at the US Macro Data
Why I signed the Manifesto for Economic Sense
The Hidden Good News in the February 2012 Employment Numbers
Unemployment Rate Forecasts
Groundhog Day Economic Forecasts
The Macroeconomic Impact of Regulatory Agency Spending
Fed Watching
IMF World Economic Outlook: Recovery During a Pandemic – Health Concerns, Supply Disruptions, and Price Pressures
IMF October 2020 World Economic Outlook
Mismatch in Online Job Search
Mardi Dungey Memorial Research Conference
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?
Migration and Online Job Search: A Gravity Model Approach
Online Job Search and Migration Intentions Across EU Member States
by Tara Sinclair (George Washington University) IIEP Working Paper 2016-5
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law
September 2015 by Amy Guisinger (George Washington University), Ruben Hernandez-Murillo (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland), Michael Owyang (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis), and Tara Sinclair (George Washington University) IIEP Working Paper...
Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: A German Forecasting Competition
July 2014 by Hans Christian Müller-Dröge (Handelsblatt Newspaper), Tara M. Sinclair (The George Washington University), and Herman Stekler (The George Washington University) IIEP Working Paper...
What Can We Learn From Revisions to the Greenbook Forecasts?
May 2014 by Tara M. Sinclair (The George Washington University), Jeff Messina (The George Washington University) and Herman Stekler (The George Washington University) IIEP Working Paper...
Okun’s Law in Real Time
January 2014 by Tara M. Sinclair (The George Washington University) and Amy Y. Guisinger (The George Washington University) IIEP Working Paper 2014-5
Statistical Versus Economic Output Gap Measures: Evidence from Mongolia
by Tara Sinclair (co-author Julia Bersch) IIEP Working Paper 2013-07
How Well Does Core Inflation Capture Permanent Price Changes?
March 2013 by Michael D. Bradley (Department of Economics, GWU), Dennis W. Jansen Department of Economics (Texas A and M University), and Tara M. Sinclair (GWU) IIEP Working Paper...
Characteristics and Implications of Chinese Macroeconomic Data Revisions
by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2012-9
Evaluating a Vector of the Fed’s Forecasts
March 2012 by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2012-3
A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts
March 2012 by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2012-2
4th Annual Conference on China’s Economic Development and the U.S.-China Relationship
G2 at GW 2011 Friday, September 23, 2011 Made possible by a generous gift from an anonymous donor Lindner Commons, Suite 602Elliott School of International Affairs1957 E St. NW, Washington, D.C. 20052 The US – China relationship is now second to none in...
Differences in Early GDP Component Estimates Between Recession and Expansion
February 2011 by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2011-5
Permanent and Transitory Macroeconomic Relationships between China and the Developed World
by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2010-8
How Well Does ‘Core’ CPI Measure Long-Run Inflation
October 2009 by Tara Sinclair & Michael Bradley IIEP Working Paper 2009-13
How Well Does “Core” CPI Capture Permanent Price Changes?
by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2010-9 Updated 2010
Jointly Evaluating GDP and Inflation Forecasts in the Context of the Taylor Rule
June 2009 by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2008-5
Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy
June 2009 by Fred Joutz & Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2008-6
Bootstrap Test for Stationarity
by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2008-18
Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach
May 2008 by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper...
Asymmetry in the Business Cycle: Revisiting the Friedman Plucking Model
February 2008 by Tara Sinclair IIEP Working Paper 2008-3
