Justin Lin (World Bank)
Anoop Singh (IMF)
Arvind Subramanian (Peterson Institute)
Joint with the Sigur Center on Asian Studies
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
12:00 to 2:00pm
Institute for International Economic Policy (IIEP)
At the Elliott School of International Affairs
8:30 – 9:20 AM Continental breakfast
9:20 – 9:30 AM
Introductory Remarks: Michael Moore (GWU-IIEP)
9:30 – 10:45 AM – NAFTA’s Origins and Impact on the U.S. and Canada
Moderator: Steve Suranovic (GWU-IIEP)
Sidney Weintraub (Center for Strategic and International Studies): Origins of North American Integration
Gary Hufbauer (Peterson Institute): NAFTA and the U.S.
Richard Harris (Simon Fraser University): NAFTA and Canada
10:45 AM – 12:00 PM – Impact on Mexico
Moderator: Cynthia McClintock (GWU-LAHSP)
Nora Lustig (GWU-IIEP): Growth, Inequality and Poverty in Post-NAFTA Mexico
Eric Verhoogen (Columbia University): Impact on Mexican Firms
Phil Martin (University of California – Davis): Immigration flows under NAFTA
12:00 – 12:45 PM – Remarks on “The Future of NAFTA” by Jaime Serra (former Mexican chief negotiator for NAFTA)
12:45 – 1:45 PM – Lunch
1:45 – 3:00 PM – What’s Next for North American Integration? Views from the Academy
Moderator: Nora Lustig (GWU-IIEP)
Robert Pastor (American University)
Gustavo Vega (El Colegio de Mexico) PowerPoint
John Curtis (Centre for International Governance Innovation)
3:00 – 3:15 PM – Coffee Break
3:15 – 4:30 PM – North American Governments’ Priorities
Moderator: Michael Moore (GWU-IIEP)
Grant Aldonas (former U.S. Undersecretary of Commerce for International Trade)
Beatriz Leycegui (Mexican Undersecretary of Economy for International Trade Negotiations) PowerPoint
Susan Harper (Economic Minister for the Embassy of Canada)
Joint with the Washington Trade Association (WITA)
Continental breakfast from 8:30 AM
9:30-10:45 AM: The U.S. and China in the World Economy
This session will examine the global context of the relationship, including macroeconomic conditions and global energy markets.
Warwick McKibbin (Professor of Economics at Australian National University, Member of the Board of the Reserve Bank of Australia and Nonresident Fellow at the Brookings Institution)
David Pumphrey (Deputy Director and Senior Fellow of the Energy and National Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, former Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Energy Cooperation at the Department of Energy)
Jiawen Yang (Professor of International Business and International Affairs at the George Washington University, co-author of Case Studies of U.S. Economic Sanctions: The Chinese, Cuban and Iranian Experience)
10:45-11:00 AM: Coffee break
11:00 AM – 12:30 PM: U.S. and China Trade and Investment Issues
This session will explore current controversies surrounding U.S. economic relations.
Jim Mendenhall (Partner at Sidley Austin, LLP and former General Counsel at Office of the U.S. Trade Representative)
Patrick Mulloy (Member of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission and former Assistant Secretary of Commerce)
Eswar Prasad (Tolani Senior Professor of Trade Policy at Cornell University, Senior Fellow at The Brookings Institution, Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and former Chief of the China Division at the International Monetary Fund).
12:30-1:45 PM: Lunch
2:00-3:15 PM: The Future of U.S.-China Relations
The final group of panelist will discuss the economic and political future of the two countries.
Albert Keidel (Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and former Acting Director and Deputy Director for the Office of East Asian Nations at the U.S. Treasury Department)
Philip Levy (Resident Scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and former Senior Economist at the Council of Economic Advisers)
David Shambaugh (Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at The George Washington University, Director of the China Policy Program at the Elliott School of International Affairs, and Nonresident Senior Fellow at The Brookings Institution).
An archive of all previous Annual Conferences on China’s Economic Development and U.S.-China Economic Relations is available here.
For more information, please contact Kyle Renner at iiep@gwu.edu or 202-994-5320.
9:30 AM: Welcome and Overview of the Conference
Stephen C. Smith (Professor of Economics and International Affairs, GW)
9:45-10:45 AM: Alain de Janvry and Elisabeth Sadoulet (University of California-Berkeley and World Bank), “The Supply and Demand Side of Credit Information,” (with Craig McIntosh, University of California-San Diego)
11:00 AM – 12:00 PM: Joe Kaboski, (OSU) “Testing a Structural Model of Credit Constraints Using a Large-Scale Quasi Experimental Microfinance Initiative,” (with Robert Townsend, University of Chicago)
12:00-1:00 PM: Lunch
1:00-2:00 PM: Jonathan Conning, (Hunter College/CUNY), “Foundations of Social Investment” (with Jonanthan Morduch, New York University)
2:15-3:15 PM Shahe Emran, (GWU), “Microfinance and Missing Markets” (with Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University)
3:30-4:30 PM Dean Karlan, (Yale University), “Expanding Credit Access: Using Randomized Supply Decisions to Estimate the Impacts” (with Jonathan Zinman, Dartmouth University)
4:30 PM Closing Remarks