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I was thumbing through my Farmer's Almanac this morning and noticed a mention of "Indian summer" for November 12. That's not a great term to use nowadays, so I'm opting for the European version called St. Martin's summer or day. I never bothered to see what these terms really meant, but I've learned it represents a period officially from November 11 to November 20 where we experience unseasonably warm weather. We've certainly had that recently, though November 11 and 12 in Maryland is back to cool fall weather.

Miscellaneous Vaccine News

I have no idea what a "miscellaneous" vaccine is, I was just desperate for something to title this section.

A new vaccine to prevent chikungunya virus infection was approved by the FDA this week for individuals 18 years and older at increased risk for infection with this mosquito-borne pathogen. It is a live virus vaccine. As with most arboviral illnesses these days, the vector range is expanding as our climate warms, and transmission has occurred within the US. Still, most infections in US residents are acquired via travel to more endemic areas such as Africa, southeast Asia, and Central and South America. The clinical illness is similar to dengue fever and mostly is a miserable but self-limited illness. However, elderly are at risk for complications, principally chronic joint disease. Newborns also are at risk for more severe disease, including death, and it is unknown whether the vaccine virus could be transmitted to the fetus. The package insert includes precautions for use in pregnant people. The main study supporting approval appeared a few months ago and looked primarily at side effects and antibody response, not actual vaccine efficacy. One big caveat, the manufacturer is required to conduct post-marketing studies to ensure that vaccine recipients do not develop a worse form of chikungunya after becoming infected; this is a possibility though not highly likely. For now, I'd consider this mostly as an option for older individuals at very high risk for infection. Most other US residents should wait for further information about the vaccine, but it's good we have this option available.

This past week also saw publication of new data from Singapore about benefits to newborns of covid vaccination of mothers during pregnancy. It was a cohort study, which is a study design slightly more prone to inaccuracies than are randomized controlled trials, but it did show about 40% efficacy in preventing infection in newborns when their mothers were vaccinated during pregnancy. Of interest, pre-pregnancy vaccination of mothers was not effective in preventing newborn infection. The study covered the period from January, 2022, through March 2023. This is yet another reason to encourage covid vaccination for pregnant people, along with pertussis and RSV vaccination. The benefits do extend to their children.

Unfortunately, we also have some disappointing vaccine news in the category of missed opportunities. First, 2 studies from the CDC demonstrated poor influenza vaccine uptake by healthcare providers. In the first report, flu vaccination rates for HCP in acute care hospitals fell from 88.6 - 90.7% in the years 2017-2020 down to 85.9% in 2020-2021 and 81.1% in 2021-2022. We all know that the pandemic made it difficult to access regular health care for many people, but these are workers in acute care hospitals who didn't have that excuse. The second study looked at a broader range of HCP during the 2022-2023 flu season and showed 81.0% flu vaccination rates in acute care hospital employees and a shocking (to me) 47.1% rate for nursing home employees. Up to date covid vaccination status rates were even more depressing: 17.2% and 22.8% in acute care hospitals and nursing homes, respectively. I can understand why some people may choose not to receive these vaccines, but HCP do have a responsibility to protect those for whom they provide care. (IMHO; I'll get off my soap box now.)

Also in the Debbie Downer category, CDC reported that vaccine exemptions for kindergarteners increased for the 2022-2023 school year. The rogues' gallery includes 10 states (Alaska, Arizona, Hawaii, Idaho, Michigan, Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon, Utah, and Wisconsin) having exemption rates above 5%. Idaho easily came out on "top" with a 12.1% exemption rate. The reasons for high exemption rates are complex, note that the list of states doesn't necessarily follow political lines. States that make it more difficult for parents to apply for non-medical, aka philosophical, exemptions have lower exemption rates overall. An oldie but goodie study also stressed that exemption rates vary within a state, and small hot spots with high exemption rates can fuel outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases.

Missed Opportunities to Prevent Congenital Syphilis

The CDC was very busy this past week! Another report looked at missed opportunities for prevention of congenital syphilis in 2022. Looking at the 3761 cases of congenital syphilis reported that year, almost 90% of birth parents received inadequate management. This included no or nontimely testing (36.8% of parents) and no or nondocumented (11.2%) or inadequate (39.7%) treatment. I'm hoping our public health infrastructure can be shored up to lower cases of congenital syphilis, now at a 30-year high.

Tripledemic Update

Rather than showing yet another RSV-NET graph, where data are somewhat delayed anyway, I thought I'd mention a bit more about that system. It is set up in 14 states covering about 8% of the US population. Here's what the distribution and data collection looks like:

I'm not sure why (Veteran's Day?) but FLUVIEW did not update this past week, so nothing new to report there. Wastewater covid levels reported by Biobot remain lowish.

No Hasty Pudding Again This Year

I'm starting to help plan a Thanksgiving menu for later this month, and I was reminded of another ill-named item, Indian pudding. It is similar to the British hasty pudding that uses wheat flour rather than cornmeal. I have a wonderful recipe, dated 1958, from the Durgin-Park Restaurant in Boston. Durgin-Park opened in 1742 and closed in 2019, and this dessert was an icon on their menu. The reasons I won't be having it again this year are multiple but include the fact that I'm the only one in my family who likes it and that it contains about 5000 calories per tablespoon (only slight exaggeration). I think I'll just change the name to Durgin-Park pudding for future reference.

Last week I was a bit obsessed with all the leaves around my house, both on the ground and still in the trees. With a neighborhood leaf collection looming and many leaves still to fall, I decided not to rake that day. The next day I reversed my stance, which was a bad idea.

On the COVID Front

Although we aren't seeing much of a surge so far (see Tripledemic below), I did come across a few items to mention.

First, FDA issued an alert about potential dosage errors with the Moderna vaccine for children 6 months through 11 years of age. The standard dosage is 0.25 ml, but apparently the single dose vials contain "notably more" than this amount. So, if one draws up the entire contents of the single dose vial and administers it, the dose will be too high. Try as I might, I was unable to determine how much above 0.25 ml "notably more" is. So far the overdosage hasn't been shown to cause any harm. Please alert your staff to this.

On the topic of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children, a prospective cohort study in the Netherlands suggests that MIS-C is lessening recently, possibly related to prior immunity. This fits with other reports, mostly anecdotal.

Finally, and consider this a very preliminary observation, researchers in China have noted an apparent increase in situs inversus diagnosed with prenatal ultrasound following lifting of covid restrictions in that country.

I'm advising caution in interpreting this study because 1) it is a short letter to the editor so methodologic details are a little sparse (supplementary online appendix helps); 2) funny things can happen when an epidemiologic blip is noticed that then triggers a look back - although the authors claim their protocols for performing sonography didn't change, all sorts of bias can affect the data in this setting; and 3) no one else has reported this association previously. I'm sure we'll see further refinement on this topic from these and other investigators in the coming months.

Some readers may have noticed I haven't mentioned anything about SARS-CoV2 variants for a while. They are still out there, changing rapidly as usual, but I won't comment much until/unless we see emergence of a variant dramatically different in its ability to alter epidemiology of disease, either by evasion of prior vaccine and infection immunity or with increased virulence.

New Infant Hepatitis C Screening Recommendations

CDC has issued new screening guidelines for infants born to mothers with hepatitis C, which should help identify infants at risk earlier. The entire document is very well written and informative. Expect updates to appear in the Red Book and from other organizations. Here is the bottom line for primary care providers, including a definition of perinatal exposure.

For a child not screened in early childhood:

Hepatitis C testing is a bit confusing to many providers; don't hesitate to seek assistance from your friendly neighborhood pediatric ID or GI provider!

Tripledemic Update

RSV continues, but we have yet to see any notable increases in flu or covid.

RSV-NET still shows an increase in hospitalizations nationally, ages 0-4 years shown in purple.

The FLUVIEW map is similar, though note this is tracking "influenza-like illness" which will be contaminated with other respiratory viral infections.

Biobot wastewater monitoring is at about the same level, still far below the January 2022 surge.

I continue to focus on wastewater data for SARS-CoV-2 due to the decrease and vast variability in tracking infections, hospitalizations, and deaths now compared to during the pandemic.

Autumn Thought

As I was finishing sweeping and raking leaves and carting them to the curb for pickup, a big wind came up. Within about 10 minutes, the areas I had just cleared looked exactly the same as before I started. The only change was that big maple tree outside my window now had significantly fewer leaves clinging to branches. At least I got a little exercise.

Langston Hughes, one of my 2 favorite American poets (Wallace Stevens being the other), wrote a short poem in 1921 entitled Autumn Thought:

Flowers are happy in summer.

In autumn they die and are blown away.

            Dry and withered,

Their petals dance on the wind

Like little brown butterflies.

And... Happy End of Daylight Savings Time!

A lot going on in the world of infectious diseases this past week, enough to challenge my ability to sort out and explain the key points. That's probably why my mind, and eyes, keep drifting to the window next to my desk. The neighborhood leaf pickup is coming any day now, and many leaves cover the ground. The number of fallen leaves is still far less than remain on the old maple tree just outside the window. Yes, it's too early to rake, I would just need to do it again in another week.

Here's my stab at summarizing recent ID events.

RSV and Nirsevimab Shortage

CDC issued a HAN (Health Alert Network) advisory statement on October 23 with a plan for prioritization of nirsevimab use in the face of limited supply.

I won't attempt to summarize everything here because the recommendations are detailed and depend highly on individual circumstances impacting nirsevimab access; please read the advisory. The 100 mg dose is the most severely restricted, and practitioners should not combine 2 50 mg doses to make up the difference because you are essentially depriving 2 younger/smaller children from access in order to treat 1 other child. Note that palivizumab (Synagis) is still available and is the go-to product for infants 8 - 19 months of age, the same as in previous RSV seasons.

At last week's Advisory Council on Immunization Practices (ACIP) meeting (see more below), the nirsevimab company representative completely avoided answering a request to provide details for the cause of the shortage, other than to invoke a supply versus demand problem. I'm hoping those details appear down the road so mistakes like this can be prevented in the future.

Remember COVID-19?

I hope nobody has forgotten, but never underestimate our short attention spans. Thankfully things are relatively calm compared to pandemic times.

I felt the lay press got things a bit wrong when reporting findings of a study by FDA and others regarding safety of monovalent covid vaccines given to children before early 2023 (i.e. NOT the current vaccines). Unfortunately the report has not been peer-reviewed, but it appears pretty sound from my brief reading. The risk of myocarditis/pericarditis in adolescent boys was pretty much the same as we've heard about all along. Also mentioned was seizure risk in younger children, and this part was over-hyped by some news agencies. The association merits further study, but currently is very uncertain: "...seizures/convulsions signals were detected following vaccination with BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 in children aged 2-4/5 years. However, in a post-hoc sensitivity analysis, the seizures/convulsions signal was sensitive to background rates selection and was not observed when 2022 background rates were selected instead of 2020 rates." The exact numbers were 72 children with seizures, most fulfilling the case definition of febrile seizures, out of 429,119 doses administered to that age group. Thus, it is very close to the background rate of febrile seizures, without vaccination, in that population.

Tripledemic Status

Well, more like a weak monodemic now, with RSV still the only one of our RSV/Influenza/Covid triumvirate to appear in appreciable numbers in most places. RSV-NET shows some hospitalizations in young infants below, but note that hospitalizations are only the tip of the iceberg for infections.

FluView activity is similarly low in most locales.

Biobot wastewater tracking for covid remains low.

New Immunization Schedules for 2024

As mentioned above, the ACIP met October 25 and 26 to cover a variety of subjects and reveal proposed immunization schedules for 2024 which were approved. This approval is awaiting some tweaking and then final signoff by the CDC director. The new schedules will have many new options, which is both good and bad. It's always nice to have more choices, but at the same time those choices create new complexities that aren't easy to explain; CDC doesn't have a great track record for making recommendations understandable. Potential changes include vaccines for COVID-19, influenza, meningococcus, mpox, pneumococcus, polio, and RSV (monoclonal antibody and vaccine). Release is planned for January 2024, earlier than usual.

Pediatric healthcare providers should take note of proposed new mpox vaccine recommendations, now just applying to age 18 and older but likely to eventually include ages as young as 12 years once NIH trials are completed, perhaps as early as next year. Like most outbreaks/epidemics/pandemics, mpox has evolved from the 2022 epidemic into a 2023 endemic problem now at about 1-4 cases per week on average.

Because of this, and the fact that a highly effective and safe vaccine is available, the new guidelines likely will recommend immunization for those at high risk:

Gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men, transgender or nonbinary people who
in the past 6 months have had one of the following:

  • A new diagnosis of ≥ 1 sexually transmitted disease
  • More than one sex partner
  • Sex at a commercial sex venue
  • Sex in association with a large public event in a geographic area where mpox
    transmission is occurring
  • Sexual partners of persons with the risks described in above
  • Persons who anticipate experiencing any of the above

We will also see new recommendations for pneumococcal vaccine now that a 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine is approved. PCV13 will phase out and infant immunization will include just PCV15 or PCV20. The 23-valent pneumococcal vaccine also will phase out, except perhaps for a stockpile kept for use in immunologic diagnostic testing.

Covid vaccination will be a little easier for young children, with clarifications for which vaccines to use for children undergoing age transitions in the midst of vaccine cycle as well as greater allowance for interchangeability of vaccines (e.g. administering Pfizer vaccine when previous vaccine was Moderna) for children 6 months through 4 years of age:

COVID-19 vaccine doses from the same manufacturer should be administered whenever recommended. In the following circumstances, an age-appropriate COVID-19 vaccine from a different manufacturer may be administered:

  • Same vaccine not available at the vaccination site at the time of the clinic visit
  • Previous dose unknown
  • Person would otherwise not receive a recommended vaccine dose
  • Person starts but unable to complete a vaccination series with the same COVID-19 vaccine due to a contraindication

The changes for meningococcal vaccination are the most confusing. A pentavalent vaccine was approved recently by FDA for use as a 2-dose regimen for ages 10 through 25 years. The confounding factor for meningococcal vaccination is that the disease is relatively uncommon, particularly for serogroup B where we see only a handful of cases annually. Furthermore, vaccine immunity wanes fairly quickly following group B vaccination, and we are potentially faced with healthcare offices needing to stock 3 different meningococcal vaccines to cover all circumstances. Here are the current recommendations for meningococcal vaccination:

Here's a look at the serogroup distribution by age (June 2023 ACIP meeting, presentation 3 slide 9 for meningococcus):

How best to add in the pentavalent vaccine? Just using that vaccine alone isn't a good idea. Trying to incorporate immunization against group B into the current schedule that starts at age 11 is likely too early to be effective. ACIP has been struggling for several months to come up with a plan for meningococcal vaccination that takes into account the relative rarity of the disease as well as the need to provide a pragmatic plan that can be implemented in diverse healthcare settings. They focused on 3 policy questions that were debated by working groups over the past several months:

PICO 2 was deemed unfavorable for a variety of reasons. We are left with deciding how best to use the pentavalent vaccine for situations 1 and 3, knowing that stocking 3 different meningococcal vaccine products may not be feasible for many practice settings. I expect continued tweaking of the options before we see the final guidelines in January, but it appears that routine immunization will still be recommended at age 11-12 years with second dose at 16 years. Group B vaccination options will variously allow use of the monovalent or pentavalent products, but it may be that the pentavalent product will be recommended for a slightly different age range (16 - 23 years) than what was approved by FDA (10 - 25 years). Regardless, the Menactra vaccine (covering groups A, C, W, Y) will be withdrawn so at least some simplification there.

A concluding disclaimer to this section: all we have now from ACIP are proposed changes. They are not approved and very likely will undergo some changes before we see them in print. Please don't act on the above until we have the updated guidelines from CDC.

Staring Out the Window Again

You can perhaps understand my tendency to wander after reading the section above. The meningococcal vaccination options are almost endless, and I didn't necessarily agree with the way the discussions were going at the ACIP meeting.

The title of this posting is a lame riff on Shakespeare, and his Sonnet 73 mentions leaves prominently. However, it is primarily a poem about aging and I didn't necessarily want to be reminded of that! I found a more playful ode to autumn in a poem by James Whitcomb Riley; he has a children's hospital named after him although he was a very complex individual who suffered from alcoholism and wasn't exactly a model citizen. His poems often are written with a child-like voice and lend themselves well to reading aloud.

"But the air’s so appetizin’; and the landscape through the haze

Of a crisp and sunny morning of the airly autumn days

Is a pictur’ that no painter has the colorin’ to mock—

When the frost is on the punkin and the fodder’s in the shock."

It's nice to be back after my brief website repair hiatus. Please let me know if you have any problems or have any suggestions for the website. I'll continue to work on design issues.

I won't attempt to cover all the issues in pediatric infectious diseases appearing during the hiatus. Needless to say, at lot happened, mostly old news by now. Some newer things I won't mention because they appear only in abstract form at national meetings, such as this month's ID Week (Infectious Diseases Society of America and other ID groups) and the American Society for Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. I have seen dramatic changes from the time data are presented at a meeting, which can be preliminary and incomplete, to the final publication or lack thereof. I've become averse to propagating that type of information source.

Yellow jack is another name for yellow fever; it takes its name from the yellow nautical flag that alerted others that yellow fever was on board. A variation of this flag is still used today to alert other ships about health issues on board. You might want to brush up on your yellow fever knowledge now, keep reading if you're intrigued.

Nirsevimab Supply Chain Flop

This isn't news to any practicing primary pediatric healthcare provider. The supply of the newly-approved long-acting monoclonal antibody preparation to prevent RSV infection for all infants has hit a major snag: demand has far outstripped supply. Maybe we will eventually hear the true story of what happened, but basically we are dealing with a single manufacturer who couldn't produce enough product. Even some hospitals aren't able to get a supply to administer to newborns at the time of discharge.

The AAP has a nice RSV page that healthcare providers may find useful, as well as an October 17 webinar with practical strategies. Remember that maternal RSV vaccination at 32-36 weeks gestation is another option to encourage; talk to preganant people visiting your practices. Palivizumab (Synagis) is still available for high risk infants.

Tripledemic Update

We're certainly not anywhere close to a tripledemic at present. Only RSV seems to be on a significant upswing:

Flu season hasn't yet started for most of the country. COVID-19 disease is much more difficult to track now that our tracking methods have changed so dramatically from the pandemic area. I look to wastewater reports as the most consistent indicator over time, and they suggest that we did not have a big spike this fall.

Future Pandemic Preparedness

The Journal of Infectious Diseases finally got around to publishing a supplement on vaccine and monoclonal antibody development for potential future viral pandemic pathogens. It was put together from presentations at a meeting in 2021. Here's a quick overview of the types of pathogens considered:

Comparison of pandemic potential and countermeasures for viral families known to infect humans. Viral families were categorized as having either low/moderate or high pandemic potential and low/moderate or high levels of existing resources and countermeasures. Cross-comparison revealed 10 viral families with high pandemic potential and low/moderate existing resources or countermeasures upon which the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases will focus its pandemic preparedness activities. Asterisks denote existing vaccine solutions for some viruses in that family; boldface type, potential vaccine solutions for the entire virus family; shaded box, viral families chosen for prototype pathogen selection.

I'm sure many of these names except for Coronaviridae are unrecognizable to most physicians, and several at best are vague even for infectious diseases specialists. Orthomyxoviridae include influenza viruses. Let's hope research funding comes through for the entities in that lower right box.

Yellow Fever

You probably haven't thought much about yellow fever unless you've considered travel to an endemic area, either for yourself or for patients in your practice. We have an effective vaccine available, but it is a live virus vaccine. Risks for vaccine side effects increase with age greater than 60; I actually received yellow fever vaccine for travel when I was in this high risk group; more on that later.

A recent Perspective essay in this week's New England Journal of Medicine raised the possibility of yellow fever reappearing in the US, particularly in the southeastern United States. This is already a problem with other mosquito-borne infections like dengue, chikungunya, and Zika viruses. (Note these are in the family Flaviviridae, also included in the gray box above.) The vectors for yellow fever, Aedes aegypti and A. albopictus, are well represented in the US, and their range is increasing as our climate warms.

Yellow fever is endemic in some parts of South America and Africa, and its range appears to be spreading in recent years. (The maps below are a few years old, updated WHO country recommendations usually are published in November.)

Diagnosing yellow fever without a travel history will be very difficult in most instances. In about 85% of those infected, the clinical presentation is a self-limited, nonspecific febrile illness with chills, myalgia, headache, and some GI symptoms lasting about 3 days. An unlucky 15% have a more biphasic presentation with the second stage appearing after around 48 hours of improvement and characterized by more severe symptoms including jaundice, renal failure, coagulopathy, and other life-threatening problems. At that stage the diagnosis might occur to an astute provider and diagnostic testing can be obtained. No specific antiviral therapy is available.

Yellow fever vaccine is highly effective, and a single dose confers life-long immunity. It is relatively safe, but there are rare severe side effects. These severe reactions are 3- to 4-fold higher in vaccine recipients over 60 years of age:

Yellow fever vaccine associated neurologic disease (YEL-AND; mostly encephalitis, Guillain-Barre syndrome):

  • over 60 years of age = 2.2 cases per 100,000 doses of vaccine administered
  • less than 60 years of age = 0.8 cases per 100,000 doses of vaccine administered

Yellow fever vaccine associated viscerotropic disease (YEL-AVD; similar to severe infection itself with approximately 50% mortality):

  • over 60 years of age = 1.2 cases per 100,000 doses of vaccine administered
  • less than 60 years of age = 0.3 cases per 100,000 doses of vaccine administered

I was over 60 years of age when my travel to Ethiopia caused me to consider yellow fever vaccine. My reasoning wasn't based on the 3- to 4- fold increase in risk, which is a relative risk increase, but rather focused on the absolute risk. This is a topic I've revisited many times in this blog; it has immediately applicability to vaccination of any type but especially for COVID-19 and RSV now.

Adding together the risks for YEL-AND and YEL-AVD for the older population comes to 3.4 cases per 100,000 vaccinations, or 0.0034%. As a comparison, risk of airplane crash is about 1 in 11 million (o.oooo1%) and risk of being struck by lightening is 1 in a million or less (0.0001%). Of course these risks vary by how many miles you spend on airplanes and how often you are out walking around in thunderstorms. Weighing my yellow fever vaccine risks and benefits, I chose to receive the vaccine rather than not travel to Ethiopia where my specific yellow fever risk was very low because I was staying at high altitude for most of the time.

Speaking of Travel

I timed my blog hiatus with a major trip to the Umbria region of Italy. It was a hiking vacation through rural areas with occasional forays into medieval towns and was a wonderful experience. I'm still nursing a few minor musculoskeletal aches and pains - my muscles and joints aren't what they used to be.

In addition to beautiful churches, ruins, and the medieval towns, I was also surprised to see many unfamiliar butterfly species including this Hipparchia hermione example.

Last week I was struggling to come up with enough new items to fill the post; this week I'm wrestling to pare down the list of topics. We've had some more concerning news about autochthonous tropical infectious diseases cropping up, but before I turn to that....

Is Covid Coming Out of the Doldrums?

Lots of headlines about this in the past week, some more hysterical than others. Staying alert, not panic, is the appropriate response.

First to wastewater. Looking at the past 6 months in Biobot, every US region is trending up, notwithstanding a slight drop in the purple midwest region.

Now look at the same graph spread out over a longer time:

So yes, we've had an upward blip recently, but nothing as dramatic as what accompanied serious clinical outbreaks in the past.

The other hype is about newer variants. Fortunately, we're still talking about omicron and primarily from the XBB subvariant group. I'll turn to the UK's nice graphs to highlight; results are similar but not identical to the US.

This Sankey diagram gives you an idea of the relatedness of strains:

The key question is how well the proposed autumn covid vaccine, derived from XBB.1.5, works against these newer variants. The answer is based mostly on conjecture at this time, we have no peer-reviewed hard data yet. The best guess is that it will not protect much against infection itself, nor will prior natural immunity. However, for the more important protection against severe disease, hospitalization, or death, it is likely to have an impact. Jennifer Abassi, a medical news reporter for JAMA, published a nice discussion. CDC and IDSA recently posted a brief explanation. Also in the news the past few days has been a newer variant, BA.2.86, now seen in a few countries sporadically including the US. It's much too early to know if this will become prominent.

CDC published updated data about monovalent and bivalent vaccination in the 6-month to 4- or 5-year-old age groups that showed good effectiveness in protection against urgent and emergency care visits. Also important to note is that these are relatively uncommon events in this age group, which is why you see different recommendations for vaccination in the US versus the UK for example. Going from the last section of Table 2 in the article, rates of these care visits from 12/24/22 to 6/17/23 were 4.4% in the unvaccinated group versus 0.9% in those who had received at least one bivalent vaccine dose. With a little arithmetic, the number needed to vaccinate at this level to prevent one additional ED/urgent care visit is about 30.

Reason to Avoid Proton Pump Inhibitors

French investigators published a cohort study linking use of PPIs in children to higher risk of serious infections. It included over 600,000 children receiving PPIs and a similar number as a control group not receiving PPIs, followed for a few years. The risks for serious infections as well as a number of categories of infection types were significantly increased. Most of the children had significant comorbidities. This association has been known in adults for a long while and is likely based on a variety of PPI effects including elevated gastric pH and alteration of the GI microbiome. That's not to say PPIs shouldn't be used in children, but there is a clear risk that should be explained to parents.

RSV Already in Florida

Florida is now seeing RSV infections in some jurisdictions. This isn't too surprising; Florida has a very different seasonal epidemiology than does most of the US:

It remains to be seen how RSV seasonality will stabilize in the post-pandemic/isolation era. A group in the Netherlands recently reported a switch to year-round transmission during the pandemic.

Along similar lines, a US study showed that ICU admissions for RSV consisted primarily of infants without risk factors; the study does have significant limitations. Findings may reflect the lack of partial RSV immunity conferred by prior RSV exposure of both mothers and infants.

It's still time to plan for use of monoclonal antibody and, if approved, maternal RSV vaccination. AAP and ACIP have a nice discussion available. Lots of logistical hurdles remain.

Autochthonous Malaria and Dengue

I posted about autochthonous malaria in Florida and Texas on July 2 and 9, and on autochthonous dengue fever in Arizona on 11/20/22. See the July 2 post for more about the definition of autochthonous infections.

Now we have a report of 11 autochthonous dengue cases in Florida. Closer to home, we've had a report of 1 case of autochthonous P. falciparum in a Maryland resident in the National Capital Area region. Falciparum malaria is significantly more dangerous than the vivax forms reported in Florida and Texas. Very little information was provided, but the letter does have links to good clinical information sites.

Autochthonous infections are tricky to diagnose given the lack of travel history to an endemic area. Climate change has expanded the geographic range of many insect vectors of disease. All clinicians should be aware of these diseases when evaluating febrile patients.

As a final note, my web wanderings about autochthony taught me something new about the term. Sadly, it has been used in a negative political (and racist) sense. An "autochthonous" flag protest disrupted a 2014 soccer match between Serbia and Albania.