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I have little to no use for social media although I do understand that many in the US see TikTok as a valuable source of entertainment and income. When I had a blog with the AAP I was "forced" to sign up for a Facebook account but never used it. I already spend a lot of time tracking new data from multiple, more reliable, sources. Do I sound like a typical boomer?

The darkening of US TikTok access, presumably to be restored in a day, is but one of many striking events this coming week. I'll be watching closely to see what happens with our public health infrastructure and pandemic preparedness over the coming months and years.

Avian Influenza

Six months ago, or even 3 months ago, I never would have thought I'd be discussing the H5N1 situation so prominently. Although we still have no evidence of human-to-human transmission, which would be a game-changer, looking at how our leaders respond to this potential threat is a bellwether for our public health infrastructure will protect us going forward.

Here's the current status:

Our public health infrastructure has given us some important steps in the past week.

  • The FDA announced that cat and dog food manufacturers "consider H5N1 in food safety plans." The wording isn't clear to me, considering something is not the same as a requirement, but wording later in the document suggests it is requiring manufacturers to reassess how their unpasteurized raw products could place pets and their owners at risk for H5N1; transmission to pets from such products has been documented already. The webpage also contains a useful list of publications.
  • CDC issued a new advisory asking hospitals to accelerate subtyping of influenza A infections in hospitalized patients, particularly for these with severe illness where the high viral loads increase the possibility of mutation and recombination events that could increase virulence and transmissibility. This shouldn't be too difficult for hospitals - many multiplex test platforms include testing for influenza A H1 and H3, the seasonal strains, so a patient testing positive for influenza A and negative for H1 and H3 needs prompt followup to test for H5. H5 testing is not as widely available and would require help from public health labs. This advisory is very timely and important particularly as we see co-circulation of seasonal influenza with avian influenza.
  • CDC also reiterated their guidance for use of combination therapy (oseltamivir plus baloxavir) for some human infections with H5N1, mainly for immunocompromised patients but also to be considered for hospitalized patients.

All of this surveillance requires resources (i.e. money); let's hope the new administration recognizes that. As an aside, I noted that the UK is embarking on a large pandemic response exercise as preparation for future outbreaks.

Protect Your Hispanic Patients

OK, one more semi-political comment and then I'll get off my soap box. Dr. Danielle Ofri, a primary care doctor in NYC, wrote a nice opinion piece in the NY Times last week (requires subscription or a free account to read). With the uncertain threats of coming deportations, she notes that "fear alone can keep patients from seeking care." Not only is this harmful for individual patients and families, it will be incredibly expensive if individuals delay healthcare visits and we are faced with treating illnesses at a later stage in disease. One state (sadly, my place of birth) requires public hospitals to ask about US residence status, a rather chilling deterrent to seeking care, but patients are not required to answer. Dr. Ofri recommends those providers making the latter point clear first, before asking the question.

Consequences of in utero Zika Infection

A new article from investigators in Brazil found that children born to mothers infected with Zika virus during pregnancy demonstrated increased rates of neurodevelopmental delay even when they did not have evidence of the congenital Zika syndrome. The risk was significantly higher for infants born to mothers infected during the first trimester of pregnancy.

More on CWD

Last week I mentioned chronic wasting disease spreading in cervids in the US, with a tongue-in-cheek (pun intended) caution about eating venison; cooking does not inactive prion-mediated disease. Now comes a new report from Norway showing CWD prion detection in muscle tissue from moose, red deer, and reindeer. Pass on cervid meat ingestion in Scandinavia!

New Vaccine Education Resource for Clinicians

Well, maybe not so new, but I just found out it's available to anyone. The Pediatric Infectious Disease Society Foundation has a large number of educational modules available to all who register. Check it out if you're interested.

WRIS

Our winter respiratory infection season plods along. I've been somewhat amused with news reports about surges in human metapneumovirus infections, which of course happens every winter. However, no one is mentioning the common cold coronavirus infections (HCOV) that are just a common now as HMPV. Here's a quick look at percent positive tests nationally, also searchable by region. HCOV is a little higher than HMPV; I guess HCOV is the Rodney Dangerfield of winter respiratory viruses.

My Bucket Lists

I have many bucket lists, none of them in writing, but this past week a new report brought to mind the bucket list I'm most ashamed of. It's my infectious diseases bucket list, a mental listing of infections I hope to see during my lifetime. It's shameful because it requires someone to be sick in order for me to cross off a list item. One of the biggies on the list is seal finger. I'm guessing most readers have never heard of it.

Researchers in Denmark and Australia reported a rather severe episode of seal finger caused by Mycoplasma phocimorsus associated with a cat scratch. This 54-year-old Danish woman developed tendinous panaritium (I had to look that up, it's basically a paronychia/whitlow/felon with contiguous spread) several days following a cat scratch, but then it progressed to very extensive infection requiring multiple extensive surgical procedures. I don't think it's a misprint in the article that stated she developed all this in 2013; likely the delay in reporting depended on new methodology. The authors seem to be the same team that originally discovered in 2023 that this organism was associated with seal finger. The unusual element in the current case report is its association with a cat scratch, I think only reported a couple times previously. The authors of the current report state that their patient's isolate appears to be a different Mycoplasma species than what was detected in the other 2 reports.

Courtesy of BBC News. The Royal Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals recommends observing seals from a distance of no less than 100 meters.

It's fashionable for this time of year to give some reflections on the events of the last 12 months; seemingly every pundit/publication does it in some form or another. I won't buck the trend. What follows is a bit of a "highlight reel," plus the 3 things I'm watching closely for next year.

The Unexplained Explained

Recently we all had the opportunity to watch as a mystery outbreak unfolded in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Was it a novel pathogen set to launch a new pandemic or simply a localized outbreak of a known pathogen, complicated by poor health resources delaying accurate diagnosis and treatment? It took a little longer than I predicted to unravel everything, but we now have an answer from WHO as of December 27. That's still pretty quick, the original alert from the Panzi health zone in the Kwango province was November 29. I'm reassured that our global public health system is working well for outbreak detection.

The case definition used for investigation was fairly broad: "any person living in the Panzi health zone from September 2024 to date, presenting with fever, cough, body weakness, runny nose, with or without one of the following symptoms and signs: chills, headache, difficulty breathing, malnutrition, body aches." Here's an excerpt from the report:

"As of 16 December, laboratory results from a total of 430 samples indicated positive results for malaria, common respiratory viruses (Influenza A (H1N1, pdm09), rhinoviruses, SARS-COV-2, Human coronaviruses, parainfluenza viruses, and Human Adenovirus). While further laboratory tests are ongoing, together these findings suggest that a combination of common and seasonal viral respiratory infections and falciparum malaria, compounded by acute malnutrition led to an increase in severe infections and deaths, disproportionally affecting children under five years of age."

In other words, it was a combination of known pathogens already present in the area, layered on a background of falciparum malaria and malnutrition: a perfect storm. Let's hope the added health resources will dampen the outbreak in this very rural, isolated region of the DRC. Nutritional support is particularly needed.

WHO 2024

The WHO published its look back at 2024, including "highlights, breakthroughs and challenges." Many countries achieved milestones in either elimination or significant decreases of a number of diseases, including human African trypanosomiasis, leprosy, lymphatic filariasis, trachoma, malaria, measles, and mother-to-child transmission of HIV, syphilis, and hepatitis B. Their Expanded Programme on Immunization celebrated its 50th anniversary this year, with an estimated 154 million deaths prevented, most of them infants.

WRIS

CDC took a bit of a holiday break this week, so the level of detail in reports is less. However, Winter Respiratory Infection Season is officially High nationally.

The big 3 (covid, influenza, and RSV) all are increasing at this point. I'm hoping they don't peak at the same time and cause big logjams in healthcare settings.

What I'm Watching For

Mpox

In spite of the few cases in North America, Asia, and Europe, mpox is still primarily an African problem. As we know, however, no communicable disease in one area is just a problem limited to that area - international spread is always a few contacts away. In that regard, I found a recent review/opinion article enlightening.

Of interest, smallpox (vaccinia virus) vaccine protects against mpox infection. Our success in eliminating smallpox and subsequent cessation of smallpox vaccination led to a new population susceptible to mpox infection. A major hurdle to control the outbreaks will be vaccinia virus vaccine testing and distribution to high risk populations.

Avian Influenza

The influenza A H5N1 viruses now circulating in birds (both domestic poultry and wild birds) and dairy cows is the most likely source of a new pandemic, but fortunately the risk is still very remote especially if the public health system can keep on top of tracking infections and characterizing variants.

In the past week we learned that feeding your cat raw pet food derived from poultry is not a good idea, it resulted in 1 cat death in Oregon. I think most of us could have predicted that. One thing for cat owners to keep in mind is that the current avian flu, while still causing some respiratory symptoms in felines, is noteworthy for neurologic symptoms.

Also this week we learned about the mutation found in the hemagluttinin gene segment in the Louisiana human patient with severe avian flu illness. This is the H1 part of the virus which is important for attachment to respiratory epithelial cells. Mutations in this area can increase the effectiveness of spread in humans. However, it is completely expected that a human infected with the virus and experiencing severe disease would develop these types of viral mutations. What would be more concerning is if an isolate from a bird or cow developed such mutations, because of the potential for wider spread.

The risk for widespread human A H5N1 infections is still extremely low. I'll be watching in 2025 for any evidence of human-to-human transmission as well as any significant changes in the virus circulating in the wild animal kingdom. Again, I'm reassured that surveillance is allowing for rapid sequencing of human isolates. I hope that resources continue to be available to track this virus in animal and human populations.

SARS-CoV-2

Covid remains a wild card. It has perhaps the highest mutation rate of any virus causing human disease, it has yet to develop a true seasonality like other coronaviruses making it difficult to plan vaccination recommendations, and infections are still relatively frequent plus underreported due to lack of resources for testing, public apathy, and misinformation/disinformation fueling political decision-making. In short, we're in big trouble if another new variant appears with significantly greater pathogenicity and infectivity.

WHO published another year in review on covid that included a big overview of what's happened since 2020. They do note that our tracking systems worldwide are diminished compared to earlier in the pandemic, so recent data are likely to be significant underestimates. In the post-pandemic phase, we all need to transition from the type of extensive pandemic case tracking into a more sustainable surveillance system similar to what we do for influenza.

I was surprised to see some areas blank for what's going on the US, perhaps due to delayed reporting, and I was also a bit overwhelmed trying to decide what graphs to display here; if you're interested I'd suggest perusing the document itself. First, I've copied a quick highlight summary:

  • While there are periodic waves of COVID-19 in some countries, SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19,
    largely circulates without clear seasonality and continues to infect, cause severe acute disease and post
    COVID-19 condition.
  • The impact of COVID-19 has varied by country depending on the circulating variants, national policies,
    capacities to respond and access to countermeasures.
  • WHO’s ability to monitor circulation, severity, virus evolution and impact is challenged by reduced
    surveillance, testing, sequencing, limited integration into longer term infectious disease prevention and
    control programs, and reporting, as Member States adapt from crisis management to longer term prevention
    and control of COVID-19.
  • Changes to COVID-19 surveillance over the past five years have been consistent and expected, adapting to
    the changing landscape of the pandemic. Many Member States are transitioning from comprehensive case
    reporting to integrating SARS-CoV-2 monitoring into existing respiratory disease and infectious diseases
    surveillance systems. This is an important step towards sustainable infectious disease surveillance,
    monitoring and risk assessment. At the present time, the integration of SARS-CoV-2 into existing influenza
    surveillance systems is variable across regionsranging from 41% in countries from the Western Pacific Region
    to 96% in countries in the European Region.

Here's a great overview of the past few years on a global level.

Even with more inaccuracies in tracking recently, it's nice to see how far we've come in lowering cases and deaths.

Here's a look at deaths by age group, but what isn't apparent in the graph is that mortality rates in infants are comparable to mortality in 20-45-year-olds. Another advertisement for vaccination of pregnant people, who themselves are in high risk group.

And here's the crazy lack of seasonality expressed as percentage of positive tests. I might be tempted to see a trend towards winter seasonality, but remember these data include the southern hemisphere and thus we should see a biphasic pattern if/when seasonality develops.

And lastly a look at how far our variants have drifted over time.

Auld Lang Syne

My apologies to Scotsman Robert Burns, but I must turn to Londoner (with Scottish heritage) Sir Rod Stewart for my favorite version of the song at Stirling Castle in Scotland, complete with bagpipes.

Wishing everyone a Safe and Happy New Year. See you next year.

Thanksgiving week has arrived, which for me means making checklists and time schedules and then revising them several times up until Thursday, at which point nothing happens according to schedule and I just go with the flow. It's also a time I remember the infamous Wiedermann Thanksgiving Massacree of 199? (I can't remember the exact year), with apologies to Arlo Guthrie.

Understandably in the past few years, this blog has drifted to the latest public health and epidemiologic trends, but I'm comforted by the fact that respiratory infections remain relatively calm and that this past week's publications allow me to focus more on recent original studies of interest to pediatric healthcare providers and the general public.

Macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae

I'm getting pretty tired of hearing about our resurgence of "walking pneumonia," but this article caught my eye. It's a report from North Dakota, and my interest wasn't in the fact that the investigators found evidence of macrolide resistance; that's nothing new. The bigger question is whether the resistance has major clinical significance. I've stated previously that, because Mycoplasma lower respiratory infection is largely a self-limited disease, it's difficult to know whether antibiotic treatment helps, and if it does, whether the amount of benefit is worth treating with antibiotics. The vast majority of "walking pneumonia" cases in children don't need any nasal swab or radiographic testing, nor any treatment.

The study was small, just based on 10 children of which 8 had macrolide resistance genes detected in their nasal swab assays. Six of them were said to have failed azithromycin treatment, though the authors didn't define treatment failure. Six of the patients who had fever and received doxycycline or levofloxacin became afebrile within 24-48 hours. Needless to say, this doesn't translate to great evidence that macrolide resistance is clinically important; it does point to the fact that we need randomized controlled trials to answer this question. Unfortunately, studies need funding, and this condition isn't likely to be profitable enough for funding from a pharmaceutical company. My only takeaway from the study is that further evaluation and treatment should be considered in children with possible pneumonia in whom symptoms worsen or fever persists more than a few days. Unfortunately, M. pneumoniae susceptibility testing isn't routinely available. For mild community-acquired pneumonia in children, amoxicillin is the treatment of choice, with azithromycin as a second-line agent. Switching to doxycycline or levofloxacin should be reserved for macrolide treatment failure, however that is defined.

Certainly we are having a banner year for mycooplasma respiratory infections, likely a combination of the normal mycoplasma surges we see every few years and lack of exposure during pandemic years. Which brings us to ...

Immune Debt

I really liked this new article that looked at the concept of a dose response effect in immune debt, i.e. that the magnitude of illness we see in rebounds of respiratory infections post-pandemic should be proportional to how much less frequent these infections were during the pandemic. The statistical methods in the study are somewhat beyond my expertise, but I mostly think the authors proved their point that lifting of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) around the world seemed to be a point of increase for various respiratory infections. Here's a sample of the findings.

If this is all true, presumably we'll be back to the "old normal" of seasonal respiratory infections soon (barring another serious pandemic).

UTI Diagnosis

I must confesse my eyes rolled when I saw the title of this new study. Early in my career I was involved in UTI research. I've been very disappointed in analyses of UTI diagnosis in recent years because most of them seemed to ignore how variable accuracy of different UTI diagnostic laboratory methods are, even for something as basic as urinalysis. For example, it makes a big difference whether the number of white blood cells in urine is determined by machine (usually flow cytometry), manual counting by a lab technician with or without use of a hemocytometer, or just a urine leukocyte esterase dipstick. So, I was very pleasantly surprised that this group of investigators highlighted precisely those concerns. This was a study of around 4000 febrile children evaluated for UTI with urinalysis and culture, and the results showed that virtually all urinalysis components were poor at predicting a positive urine culture, defined as > 50,000 cfu/mL of a single pathogen in a catheterized urine specimen. The authors concluded that around 20% of children with febrile UTI could have normal urinalyses but also acknowledged how difficult it is to factor in asymptomatic bacteriuria (estimated rate 2%, but tough to assign an exact number) and specimen contamination. I don't think this study solves any of these issues, but it is an important contribution to our understanding of UTI diagnosis.

WRIS and Nowcasting

Last week CDC published a more detailed explanation of how the time-varying estimated reproductive number (Rt) can be used as an early warning for changes in respiratory pathogen transmission activity. This report is of interest mostly to true epidemiologic nerds, so of course I found it very enlightening. The authors did provide convincing evidence that this methodology has been working well recently.

We're not due for another respiratory illness outlook update from the CDC until mid-December, they only provide these every 2 months, but we remain mostly quiet. I suspect we'll see RSV and influenza hit pretty soon around the country. Again, you can check your own local illness and wastewater activity at the CDC' site.

Beware Studies Based on Administrative Data

This is one of my pet peeves: not the studies themselves, but how too much importance seems to be given to them in the lay press (bolstered by academic organizations seeking to get their names in the news). A new study shows how variable results can be from these databases, using the example of invasive bacterial infections in febrile infants. It's easy to imagine how any system based on diagnosis codes entered into various databases could lead to classification errors, but this report provides an excellent example to keep in mind. Any study using an administrative database should evaluate accuracy of diagnoses on a subset of patients to give some evaluation of the accuracy of their results (IMHO).

New 2025 Vaccination Schedules Published

The information isn't new, just based on prior FDA and ACIP deliberations mostly happening over the summer, but now we have the colorful schedules to use. The AAP has a quick summary of changes.

Happy Thanksgiving!

I have so much to be thankful for this year, and I hope not to repeat the Wiedermann Thanksgiving Massacree of maybe 30 years ago. I won't explain in full; it's too painful to spend anything like the 18 minutes, 34 seconds that Arlo Guthrie took to explain his Alice's Restaurant Thanksgiving Massacree of 1965. (Restaurant namesake Alice Brock died a few days ago.) The short version is that my attempt to create the perfect turkey gravy ended badly in an oil slick of glass shards in the kitchen. Why I'm still allowed to have any Thanksgiving responsibilities at all is a prime example of my wife's incredible powers of forgiveness.

We'll be hosting a relatively small gathering at our place this year. My duties are limited to turkey, gravy, and drinks. Starting today I'll have my checklists made out, separated into daily tasks. Thursday itself will have a well-choreographed timeline to include oven and stove use times in our smallish kitchen. As I said at the start, these scraps of paper will bear little resemblance to how the meal actually unfolds.

I won't go into detail about all the food-borne illnesses linked to turkey dinners, but please make good use of your food thermometer and follow guidelines.

And, speaking of Arlo, some of you might be interested in his live recording of "Amazing Grace" with Pete Seeger in 1993 (around the time of the Wiedermann Massacree!). It's 13 minutes of music and meanderings still meaningful in today's world.

2023 wasn't exactly the best of years, but at least we didn't slip back into pandemic circumstances. I fear we will see some "old" infections become new again in 2024. General immunization rates are falling; even before that, we saw plenty of pertussis and even some tetanus, but now we may become reacquainted with measles and varicella, among other vaccine-preventable diseases. Time for some of those younger pediatric healthcare providers who have never seen children with these infections to hit the textbooks again - how's that for a New Year's resolution!

Still, we have lots of reasons to hope for improvements in 2024. Maybe AI won't take over the world but instead will help us practice more effectively.

Short Course Therapy for Febrile UTI in Children

The literature just got a bit muddier with regard to treatment duration for pediatric UTI with a new study from Italy. Investigators in 8 pediatric emergency departments randomized 142 children ages 3 months to 5 years with fever and UTI to receive either 5 or 10 days of oral amoxicillin/clavulanate. The study wasn't blinded, and the randomization occurred on day 4 of therapy when urine culture results were available. UTI was defined as a single organism growing at >100,000 cfu/ml in clean catch urine or > 10,000 cfu/ml in catheterized urine, and subjects were followed for 30 days after completion of antibiotic. After a planned interim analysis the study was stopped early due to finding of noninferiority of the short course therapy.

As you can see, the short course group had numerically lower rates of UTI recurrences during this time period. However, this study's results contradict another study, with a somewhat more reliable study design and definitions, that showed short course therapy to be inferior. I reviewed this earlier study in my July 2, 2023 post. The editorial accompanying the new study is an excellent discussion of weighing the relative merits of the 2 studies. Suffice to say, the jury is still out, and I would stick with 10 days of therapy for febrile UTI in most children.

More Evidence for Using Nirsevimab to Ameliorate Bad Outcomes from RSV

Investigators in 3 European countries conducted a randomized trial of the long-acting monoclonal antibody nirsevimab showing benefits in preventing RSV-associated hospitalization, especially in younger infants. Note that subjects for this study were not eligible for receiving nirsevimab currently in these countries; they were all healthy infants less than 12 months of age, born at > 29 weeks gestation, who were entering their first RSV season.

This was a pragmatic trial, meaning that it was carried out under more "real-world" practice situations rather than within the strict confines of "explanatory" trials used with most therapeutic research studies. It lends more evidence to benefits of nirsevimab for young children.

WRIS (Winter Respiratory Illness Season)

Most pediatric healthcare providers across the country know that we are in the midst of a busy WRIS. This also is a time when data are least reliable due to the extended holiday season - reporting lags a bit, so trends seen now are more likely to be revised in the next few weeks. Still, it's worth a look.

Researchers in Stockholm, Sweden, looked at pediatric hospitalization rates for the 3 "tripledemic" viruses during the period 8/1/21 to 9/15/22 and found that rates were higher for RSV than for omicron covid (the time period was entirely omicron in Sweden) or influenza; note especially the numbers for younger children. I'll be interested to see if this pattern is seen in the US this winter.

CDC has a new (to me) section charting epidemic growth status for covid and influenza, i.e. it depicts, by locale, the growth rates but not the absolute numbers of these pathogens. Another interesting tidbit.

Along the same lines is a monthly crystal ball page from CDC, a bit of sticking their necks out to predict what's in our future for respiratory illnesses. The last report is from November 29:

Lots of uncertainties here, but I appreciate the attempt.

Now for a look at our usual sources for data.

FLUVIEW

Circulating strains are still well-matched to this year's vaccine.

Covid wastewater is increasing, and several healthcare facilities across the country have reinstituted masking and other mitigation practices due to high rates in their communities.

RSV is the one "tripledemic" component that seems to be decreasing in most areas.

So, WRIS this year seems to be a double-whammy rather than a tripledemic, still more than enough to strain healthcare resources. I can only dream how much better people's health would be with widespread vaccine acceptance.

We're Still Safe from the AI Bots

I tried to use an AI program, Microsoft Copilot's Suno, to compose a song about this blog. Specifically, I asked it to create a song about the Pediatric Infection Connection blog using the blues genre. Here's what I got.

Their link doesn't exist, nor is there a pediatric infectious disease specialist Dr. Sarah Jones certified by the American Board of Pediatrics. I did find a Sarah Jones infectious diseases pharmacist at Boston Children's Hospital, but she doesn't appear to have a blog and I don't know if she has children.

I think, for the next year, we'll still be able to keep AI from fooling all of us.

Have a Happy and Safe New Year!

I didn't have any trouble thinking of things to be thankful for this Thanksgiving-time. That might seem odd given the horrific events on the world stage now, and I don't mean to minimize that, but gratitude can coexist with dismay.

First, let's get caught up on this week's ID happenings.

Disappointing Measles News

Measles is probably the most easily transmissible human infection known; a high level (probably 95%) of population immunity is needed to prevent outbreaks. Not surprisingly, a breakdown in immunization rates during the COVID-19 pandemic likely is to blame for increases in measles cases worldwide, as reported last week by the CDC. Concomitant with a decrease in measles-containing vaccine coverage from 86 to 81%, measles cases increased 18% (7.8 million to 9.2 million) worldwide from 2021 to 2022; deaths increased from 96,000 to 136,200. Still, and here's the thankful part, vaccination likely prevented 57 million measles deaths from 2000 to 2022. Here's hoping we can get our global immunization campaigns back on track.

2024 CDC Recommended Immunization Schedules Are Available

Even earlier than advertised, CDC has posted the 2024 immunization schedules. Primary care providers should study these closely due to some complex changes, particularly for pneumococcal and meningococcal vaccines. The AAP has posted a summary of key changes (click on the PDF link). As an aside, I'm a bit irked by what CDC and others call "shared clinical decision-making." Here's CDC's tool for SCDM for meningococcal group B vaccine:

I'm not a primary care provider, but I don't see a lot of help for busy frontline practitioners here. What we really need are more details about choices parents and patients need to consider. Specifically, what are the risks of not getting the vaccine versus those being vaccinated? As stated in the table, meningococcal B infections are relatively rare in the US, so vaccination isn't going to prevent much disease or mortality even with a highly fatal infection. The risks are different depending on individual circumstances. Are frontline providers supposed to have these numbers at their fingertips? Maybe the CDC or AAP will provide them. (Or, if not, maybe I will!)

MIS-C Cardiac Follow-Up

Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) following covid infection is very uncommon currently, but we shouldn't forget about monitoring children as they recover from MIS-C. A group at Children's Hospital of Los Angeles reported that even children who did not have clinical cardiac involvement during their acute illness still had some evidence of cardiac injury at the 6-month followup period. Most of the report deals with laboratory, imaging, and other testing, but of the 69 patients evaluated at 8 weeks 15 had clinical symptoms such as chest pain, palpitations, exertional dyspnea, or fatigue. The rate of clinical symptoms was actually lower in the group with no initial myocardial injury, although the difference was not statistically significant. The bottom line: make sure all MIS-C patients have good cardiology followup.

Variations in Influenza Antiviral Use

A group from Vanderbilt reported wide variation in prescribing practice for influenza antivirals during the period 2010-2019 (so, not affected by the pandemic). It is an administrative database study, a study design type that has inherent inaccuracies due to how administrative data is collected. In general, however, a wide variation in practice is an indication that something isn't right. Guideline-concordant compliance was low, for example <40% in children less than 2 years of age, a high risk group. I would have liked to have seen how flu vaccine status affected antiviral use since vaccination greatly lowers risk for severe adverse outcomes, but apparently the database did not contain that information. This is another opportunity for shared clinical decision making with parents; what are the specific rates for infection, hospitalization, etc versus medication side effects (primarily vomiting with oseltamivir) for an individual child, based on their risk factors? That's what a frontline health provider needs when discussing whether to treat a child for influenza.

The "New Normal"

I mention this catchphrase only to bury it. Not only does it seem nonsensical to me, it also is beyond retirement age. Some might wish to apply this catchphrase to the upcoming winter season. I'm strangely thankful/hopeful for this because it now appears we may get to see what a typical respiratory virus season looks like in the post-pandemic era. We haven't seen any weird covid upticks early on, and RSV looks more typical so far without the very severe season we saw last year. Flu may be starting to increase, similar to pre-pandemic seasons. Of course, all of the respiratory virus seasons vary somewhat from year to year. Will covid settle into just another winter respiratory virus?

FLUVIEW is back in business, and the map is heating up especially in the South.

Remember that this is a map of "influenza-like illness" so can capture other respiratory viruses. However, covid wastewater tracking hasn't had much of an uptick.

RSV-NET continues to show increase primarily in younger children, not matching last year's peak but possibly similar to prepandemic waves.

Happy Thanksgiving

I was looking around for something uplifting and fun to mention and happened on "Thanksgiving" by Edgar Albert Guest. Here's an excerpt:

"Greetings fly fast as we crowd through the door

And under the old roof we gather once more

Just as we did when the youngsters were small;

Mother’s a little bit grayer, that’s all.

Father’s a little bit older, but still

Ready to romp an’ to laugh with a will.

Here we are back at the table again

Tellin’ our stories as women an’ men."

I had never read anything by Guest, but I was sold on him when I read his Wikipedia page. Anyone who merits mention by Edith Bunker from "All in the Family," Lemony Snicket, Mad Magazine, and Benny Hill is my kind of guy. Furthermore, Dorothy Parker of Algonquin Round Table fame had the best line: "I'd rather flunk my Wassermann test than read a poem by Edgar Guest." I think maybe she wasn't a fan, but at least she knows her 1950s syphilis testing.

Wishing everyone a Safe and Happy Thanksgiving.