The "Pandemic of the Unvaccinated"
Dr. Walensky's sound bite this past week quickly became the standard catch phrase in the media, and it isn't misleading. Our current COVID-19 infection rate is in the same (but slightly lower) ballpark as last summer, but what isn't in the same ballpark are numbers of hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths, at least not yet. The main difference between this summer and last is the target population: now we are seeing the pandemic being driven by younger (unvaccinated) individuals who are less at risk for the more severe outcomes of COVID-19 infections. Clearly vaccines work, and we now have real-world evidence that demonstrates this. We are still in a race between variants and reaching herd immunity, and each one of those newly-infected individuals might be the one to develop and spread a more troublesome variant that not only has increased infectivity but also increased severity and/or ability to evade vaccine protection.
As a slight aside, yesterday (July 17) I tuned into a regular CDC/IDSA COVID-19 Clinician Call, and this one I thought was particularly useful with explanation of immunity from natural infection versus vaccines and a summary of COVID-19 antibody testing. The key take-home for antibody testing is that it should not be used to infer immunity following vaccination. These tests were only designed to predict likelihood that an individual was previously infected and says nothing about degree of protection. Just say no if a patient requests an antibody test to determine if they are immune. The recording from the July 17 session should be available within a few days.
Ready for Monkey Pox?
Also in the category of history repeating itself, we learned this past week about an individual with monkey pox in Texas, likely picked up in Nigeria. We see sporadic cases of monkey pox in the US, it isn't unexpected. Do you know what to look for to spot a case?
First of all, in spite of the name, don't ask about monkey exposure. Most humans acquire monkey pox from other animal reservoirs, principally rodents, in endemic areas. These areas include Central and West Africa. It can be a difficult diagnosis before the rash appears; the prodrome is nonspecific and consists of fever, malaise, headache, and myalgias. After the 1-3 day prodrome, the rash appears initially as macules and then progresses to papules, vesicles, and pustules. It is very similar to smallpox in that lesions tend to distribute more peripherally. Transmission from infected individuals to other humans most commonly is via droplet spread and likely requires prolonged close contact. Skin lesions themselves also are contagious. Travel history is the key, be sure to ask about that for anyone with a nonspecific febrile illness. Incubation period is about 5-13 days, easily long enough to allow for international travel before symptoms begin.