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Holding My Breath

I feel a bit on the cusp of important news in the next few weeks. How much fallout will we have from the Labor Day holiday, resumption of football and other sports with variable COVID-19 mitigation strategies in place, and of course school openings? What will the FDA say about booster vaccine doses at their meeting on September 17? Will Pfizer submit data on vaccines for 5-11 year olds this month? By October we could be in a new era of the pandemic in the US.

Testing Asymptomatic Children in Schools

This is an important component of infection control in schools, in combination with vaccination of all eligible individuals, distancing of at least 3 feet between desks, contact tracing, air quality measures, and quarantine/isolation policies. None of these measures alone is likely to be effective without the full package in use.

A story in the September 12 Washington Post caught my eye, mentioning that 24 of 4109 asymptomatic children tested by DC public schools was positive for SARS-CoV 2. That's a rate of 0.6%. Keep in mind that, no matter how good the test is, with a prevalence that low even a highly specific test showing a positive result might still be more likely to represent a false positive than a true positive. I'm all for more testing in schools, just be warned about the difficulties in interpreting results for individual children.

New Therapies for COVID-19 Disease

I have the sense that the lay press isn't reporting a whole lot about this. Ivermectin does seem to get a lot of publicity, I still don't understand how it became so popular, but evidence to date suggests that this medication is an ineffective treatment. The better-designed studies suggest no benefit, but certainly we could still use some larger randomized controlled trials to help determine if there is a use for the drug. In vitro studies suggest it may have some antiviral effects, but in concentrations likely to be toxic to humans. It also has some anti-inflammatory characteristics that might be beneficial. It's not a particularly dangerous drug as long as you don't use the horse dosage!

I'm intrigued with early studies of fluvoxamine, an SSRI medication mostly useful for OCD and some related disorders. I'm waiting to see more data and would not at all recommend using this for infected children at this time. You might be interested in the TOGETHER trial, an adaptive design trial based at McMaster University and still ongoing. One pre-print (non-peer reviewed) study suggesting benefit of fluvoxamine in one setting is a good example.

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