Yes, the winter respiratory illness season has ramped up in the US. Predictably, so has the hype. I even saw a term, "white lung syndrome," tossed out. It's a completely inappropriate description especially when one considers the main lower respiratory disease agent circulating now is a mild one, Mycoplasma pneumoniae.
Before we dive into winter respiratory pathogens, let's touch on a few other noteworthy events from the past week.
Watch Out for Cantaloupes (and many other foods)
CDC announced a new Salmonella outbreak alert this past week, covering 34 states and resulting in over 60 hospitalizations so far. Be particularly cautious of pre-cut cantaloupe products. Perhaps more revealing, however, is the fact that we have 2 other Salmonella outbreaks being monitored now (dry dog food and fresh diced onions) plus 4 others that have ended recently (backyard poultry, raw cookie dough, ground beef, and small turtles). Salmonellosis can mostly be avoided by knowing about high risk situations (e.g. poultry, ground meats, reptiles, poorly washed raw foods) and practicing good handwashing, food washing, and cooking thoroughly, as well as by refrigerating leftovers promptly.
WHO World Malaria Report
WHO released its annual report, and it's no surprise we are behind schedule for decreasing malaria cases worldwide. It's a very long, detailed report even allowing for the fact that some details appear in a few different languages. Some key details:
- Rapid detection assays have been very helpful in diagnosing Plasmodium falciparum infections in particular, but new mutations in the histidine-rich protein 2 gene may allow these organisms to escape detection.
- As always, resistance to antimalarials is spreading, requiring ongoing monitoring.
- Not to be outdone by the pathogen, the vectors (mosquitoes) are increasingly becoming resistant to insecticides. This has led to new recommendations for mosquito netting in malaria-endemic countries.
- And last, but not least, climate change. Here's a direct quote: "WHO has declared climate change to be the single greatest threat facing humanity."
I liked this graphic for visualizing malaria case distribution geographically.
More Concern for Invasive Group A Streptococcus
The Pan American Health Organism just issued a new alert for iGAS infections in Argentina. This joins a growing list of reports in a number of countries, primarily in Europe. Research is pointing to new M1 mutations with toxin production that might confer increased virulence.
Winter Respiratory Illness Season
Clearly I need to switch from calling this a winter respiratory viral season to a winter respiratory illness season; not all the pathogens are viruses, and of particular note is M. pneumoniae, a free-living organism in the class called Mollicutes. Technically they are bacteria, but they lack a cell wall and I think it's a bit misleading to the general public to refer to them as bacteria. Nonetheless, they aren't viruses. The organism is very difficult to grow in culture, requiring special media and expertise as well as 1-3 weeks incubation, but now it is included in most multiplex respiratory pathogen panels so easier to diagnose. Serologic diagnosis is fraught with false positives, about the least useful serologic testing for human disease that I know of.
"Fried egg" image of M. pneumoniae in culture:
One important thing to know about mycoplasma disease is that it is endemic everywhere, but epidemics occur about every 3 to 7 years and last anywhere from 1 to 2.5 years. I've witnessed this myself several times in my practice in the DC area, and it appears that a new mycoplasma epidemic partially explains the larger numbers of respiratory diseases in Denmark (you may need Google translate) and the Netherlands.
Perhaps more importantly, it's been very difficult to show that antimicrobial treatment has any benefit for illness caused by M. pneumoniae, which is clearly a self-limited infection. Probably if treatment has a benefit it would need to be initiated very early in the disease course. Testing for the organism requires a relatively expensive multiplex PCR assay and probably isn't worthwhile to test for the usually mild "walking pneumonia" version of the infection.
By far the biggest hype in the lay press (and from some congressmen) is the surge in respiratory illness in China, especially in northern regions. However, we do have some reassurance from the WHO taken from review of Chinese reports (Google translate again helps somewhat here). It appears that what is going on is simply an increase in known respiratory pathogens, rather than a new pathogen that China is hiding from us. I can add anecdotally that, as I track reports in real time and compare to the December 2019/January 2020 tracking I was doing, this looks nothing like the new appearance we saw with SARS-CoV-2. That doesn't mean there isn't something new circulating at low levels, but certainly no cause for alarm or to call for travel restrictions.
Remember that China only emerged from their "zero covid" lockdown a year ago, so this is their first full winter respiratory season with most children having no experience with any of these respiratory pathogens the past 4 years. As we saw in the US last winter, this likely produces a temporary situation resulting in increased numbers of cases and increased disease severity.
On the sort of good news side of covid, CDC reported benefits of covid vaccination for children 6 months to 4 years of age from a very recent time period covering July 2022 through September 2023. Vaccine effectiveness (receipt of at least 2 vaccine doses) for preventing acute care visit or hospitalization was 40%, though with a large confidence interval due to the relatively small numbers of events. The somewhat downer side of the report was that only 10% of the 7400+ children in the study had actually received > 2 vaccine doses.
Moving on from covid, RSV activity in RSV-NET is taking off, it is now full-blown RSV season.
Flu is heating up in more parts of the country, but not widespread yet.
Covid also is increasing, and now CDC has a better display for wastewater tracking:
The above is current for the week ending November 25 and predicts we will see a winter increase in covid illness. This is supported by a slight increase in positivity rate in covid testing in CDC data. However, you can see most of the recent uptick in positivity rate is being driven by influenza and RSV. If wastewater is truly predictive, we'll see the covid curve start to rise more dramatically in the coming weeks.
A Chuckle to Share
I loved this brief blurb in the November 20 issue of The New Yorker (I'm way behind in my magazine reading, blame Thanksgiving holidays). Every parent (and grandparent) will identify with this fictional list of communications from a nursery school to parents, announcing outbreaks of lice, pink eye, smallpox, "pirate's gastroenteritis," and rinderpest.
I Didn't Forget Diego Rivera
Last week I challenged you to name the organisms depicted in various Diego Rivera murals as collected in a recent article. According to the authors, figure A represents Salmonella typhi, though that seems a stretch to me. Figure B is easier, it looks a lot like the Gram negative intracellular diplococci seen with gonorrhea. Figure C shows spirochetes, mostly likely syphilis, but D is vague again, some sort of Gram positive intracellular cocci. Take your pick.