This question was submitted by a primary care pediatrician during my last live webinar update to Children's National Hospital's Pediatric Health Network (PHN) on September 1, 2020. (You can view the entire presentation if you want, about an hour.)
That was a pretty daunting question to answer on the fly, and the answer becomes more difficult as time goes on. Some of you may have seen the story by Lena Sun in the Washington Post on September 13 (online on September 12) detailing some political squabbling about publications in the CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR). Some in the Department of Health and Human Services apparently have felt for some time that MMWR reports are biased against the current administration and that such reports are sometimes politically motivated rather than purely scientifically driven.
I have subscribed to MMWR for as long as I can remember, I receive the weekly reports electronically as well as any advance reports ahead of publication. The Post commentary focused on a report from July of extensive SARS-CoV-2 spread within a summer camp in Georgia. The commentary didn't mention another MMWR description about a good camp outcome in Rhode Island, published in August, where the camp administrators adhered more stringently to infection control measures. I happened to have mentioned both reports in my September 1 PHN presentation because I thought it very effectively showed us what preventive health measures worked and what didn't work in camp settings. These experiences could offer some important lessons to apply in other settings such as schools.
In the midst of all this squabbling it may help to understand how MMWR features differ from traditional original medical articles in journals. The MMWR discussions are relatively brief and in particular generally do not go into great detail explaining methodology. The methodology is key to assessing validity of results of any study. Sometimes the MMWR features end up being published in more traditional journals with more details provided. Having said this, in general I have found the MMWR to have very useful information with only rare instances where findings subsequently were found to be in error. (One instance of error I remember very well was a published association of a household mold, Stachybotrys chartarum, with cases of pulmonary hemosiderosis in infants in Cleveland. The methodology was flawed, and CDC retracted the findings a few years later.)
Of course we also are challenged by potential political influences at the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) already involving hydroxychloroquine, convalescent plasma, and now COVID-19 vaccines. I do need to mention a potential conflict of interest with the FDA: we have had a joint pediatric infectious diseases fellowship with the FDA since the late 1980's, highly successful, and I know many of the scientists and physicians at the FDA now working on SARS-CoV-2 antiviral, biologic, and vaccine evaluations. Of course I know nothing about the details of their deliberations, but I do feel comfortable knowing the rank and file personnel there will make their recommendations based on science. It remains to be seen whether those recommendations change based on political considerations, but as long as the process and the findings are transparent we can all reach our own conclusions and provide recommendations to our patients and families.
So, to answer the original question posed to me, I do trust both the CDC and FDA to give us fair and accurate information about SARS-CoV-2, just as they have done in the past through many other outbreaks.